Category Archives: Greenhouse Gas Reduction
As EV Sales Increase, Can Any Company Dethrone Tesla?

Car sales data from 2022 is now out, and the results are encouraging. According to the Wall Street Journal, automakers sold 807,180 fully electric vehicles in the U.S. last year, or 5.8% of all vehicles sold, up from 3.2% a year earlier. And as E&E News reported (paywalled) 19 percent of new car purchases in California were zero-emission vehicles. This is a big increase from the 12 percent in 2021, according to the same California Energy Commission data, and a positive trajectory to a state-mandated goal of 100% zero-emission vehicle sales by 2035.

But only one EV company dominates. Tesla Motors accounted for 65% of total EV sales last year, down from 72% in 2021, but with no real competition in sight. Ford Motor Co. is a distant number 2 in sales at just 7.6% of the U.S. market, with Hyundai and affiliate Kia combined at third with 7.1% market share. In California, the top vehicles sold overall by a large margin were the Tesla Model 3 followed by Model Y, with combined sales of more than half of all EVs sold in the state. What’s more, Tesla earns large profit margins per vehicle compared to other automakers.

Other legacy automakers appear to be asleep at the wheel (so to speak). They are instead largely committed to making money on gas guzzlers, despite press releases and limited EV releases to the contrary. General Motors, for example, is allocating only 10% of a new $860 billion investment into EV development, according to Eletrek.

But not everyone thinks Tesla’s lead will continue. As Paul Krugman wrote in December after a stock price drop:

[I]t’s hard to explain the huge valuation the market put on Tesla before the drop, or even its current value. After all, to be that valuable, Tesla would have to generate huge profits not just for a few years but in a way that could be expected to continue for many years to come.

He cited the lack of obvious attributes that would give Tesla the kind of market dominance that we see with monopolistic companies like Apple or Google in their sectors.

But what Krugman and others miss is the significant technological advantage Tesla has right now over its competitors, in terms of charging speeds and user friendliness of the vehicles (Krugman admits he’s not a “car guy” and so likely hasn’t test driven EVs from different brands before to understand this difference).

But second, and perhaps most importantly, people like Krugman mistake Tesla as just a car company. But it’s not. It’s a fuel station operator, too, with the most significant build out of EV charging infrastructure in the world. What’s more, compared to the competition (third party charging companies rather than other automakers), Tesla’s chargers are higher-powered and more convenient and reliable.

But wait there’s more, as they say on the game shows. Tesla is also an energy storage company, with 152 percent growth last year in its stationary battery business. And it’s a solar roof company, though that latter business has largely been stalled in recent years. So when you package all of these business lines together, you’ll find a vertically integrated monopoly with a significant head start in essentially all of the climate-fighting tech that will dominate the future.

Yes, Tesla stock may be overvalued. But the perception behind it is quite justified. Other automakers need to catch up, as the 2022 sales data reveal, or they will face an existential threat to their survival — much as humans now do, thanks to their gas-guzzling products.

How Can We Decarbonize Aviation? KQED Forum’s “In Transit” Series Today 10am PT

Aviation is responsible for over two percent of global carbon dioxide emissions and is one of the most difficult sectors to decarbonize. We discussed options for California to address the challenge in a Berkeley Law policy report released last year, called Clean Takeoff.

I’ll be on KQED Forum today at 10am PT to discuss the report and what to do about “greening” flying. This will be the first in Forum’s new series “In Transit,” where I’ll talk about key environmental challenges and opportunities facing California’s transportation sector over the coming year.

Hope you can tune in or stream live!

SF’s Climate Action Plan, Alcatraz History & The Pacific Pinball Museum — State Of The Bay 6pm PT

Tonight on State of the Bay, I’ll be hosting Jessica Wolfrom, environmental reporter for the San Francisco Examiner, for an update on San Francisco’s climate action plan. As my colleagues at CLEE analyzed in a report last year, the city may need up to $22 billion to meet its climate goals.

Then we’ll uncover the mystery and history of Alcatraz: the prisoners, protests, escapes and more. We’ll be joined by John Martini, author, historian and former Park Ranger on Alcatraz Island, and Karley Nugent, current Park Ranger on Alcatraz.

Finally, we’ll hear about another great bay area gem: The Pacific Pinball museum in Alameda, with Larry Zartarian, president of the Pacific Pinball museum.

What would you like to ask our guests? Post a comment here, tweet us @StateofBay, send an email to stateofthebay@kalw.org or leave a voicemail at (415) 580-0718‬.

Tune in tonight at 6pm PT on KALW 91.7 FM in the San Francisco Bay Area or stream live. You can also call 866-798-TALK with questions during the show.

The Great Gas Range (Fake) Debate

Last week the news blew up (no pun intended) that a commissioner on the U.S. Consumer Product Safety Commission floated the idea of a potential ban on gas cooktops in kitchens. The issue is that these cooktops are increasingly linked to unsafe levels of indoor air pollution and childhood asthma.

However, despite an outcry from right-wing news organizations and various politicians, there is no movement afoot for the government to seize your gas range. If anything, the debate in states like California is about ending ratepayer subsidies for gas hook-ups to new construction and eventually to existing neighborhoods, rather than paying to upgrade them. Eventually, all-electric buildings will be the norm and offer consumers better, more efficient appliances that aren’t putting their health at risk.

Most of the technology to move to all-electric buildings is essentially invisible to us on a daily basis, such as your hot water heater, furnace, etc. But the kitchen cooktop is a deeply personal issue for some people, especially those wedded to cooking with gas.

Fortunately, a far superior technology exists for cooking: the magnetic induction range. I spoke to NPR’s Marketplace this week to discuss the technology, its pros and cons, and the logistical challenges for customers looking to install one. Hopefully this discussion is helpful for anyone interested in purchasing one, or at least getting to the bottom of what was a fake debate about a real issue.

Newsom’s Oil Windfall Penalty, Sleep Science & SF Holiday Events — State Of The Bay 6pm PT
Dr. Aric Prather, sleep scientist at UCSF

Tonight on State of the Bay at 6pm PT, we’ll discuss Governor Newsom’s plan to address “price gouging” by the oil industry. Joining me will be Sameea Kamal, California politics journalist at CalMatters.

Then we’ll talk to Dr. Aric A. Prather, professor of psychiatry and behavioral sciences at UCSF, about his new book The Sleep Prescription: Seven Days to Unlocking Your Best Rest. He’ll share his science-backed strategies to help us all get a better night’s sleep.

Finally, we’ll hear about fun and festive holiday events happening around the Bay Area with Anne Schrager, author at Datebook and calendar producer for the San Francisco Chronicle.

What would you like to ask our guests? Post a comment here, tweet us @StateofBay, send an email to stateofthebay@kalw.org or leave a voicemail at (415) 580-0718‬.

Tune in tonight at 6pm PT on KALW 91.7 FM in the San Francisco Bay Area or stream live. You can also call 866-798-TALK with questions during the show.

Midterms Impact On The Environment & New Supreme Court Cases — Your Call 10am PT

I’ll be guest hosting today’s Your Call’s Media Roundtable, where we’ll talk about what the midterm election means for President Biden’s climate and clean energy agenda, including investments in alternative sources of energy that are clean, accessible, affordable and sustainable.

This topic is especially timely given the runoff election victory this week for Georgia senator Raphael Warnock, plus Arizona senator Krysten Sinema’s announcement this morning that she’s leaving the Democratic party.

Joining us will be:

Then at 10:30am PT, we discuss two cases in front of the Supreme Court this week that could have major impacts on LGBTQ rights and federal election rules. The case 303 Creative v. Elenis involves a challenge by a Colorado website designer to a state law that bars public-facing businesses from discriminating against gay people or announcing their intent to do so. The designer, Lorie Smith, argues that subjecting her to the law would violate her right to free speech. The justices also considered Moore v. Harper, a case that would give state lawmakers unfettered power to set rules for voting and elections, without state constitutional limits.

Joining us to analyze the potential impact of these two cases will be Mark Joseph Stern, a senior writer covering courts and the law for Slate Magazine. Mark has covered the U.S. Supreme Court, federal appellate and district courts, and state and local courts since 2013.

Tune in at 91.7 FM in the San Francisco Bay Area or stream live at 10am PT. What comments or questions do you have for our guests? Call 866-798-TALK to join the conversation!

Arctic Drilling, Nuclear Power & COP 27 In Egypt — Your Call 10am PT & State Of The Bay 6pm PT

Today I’m doing double duty on KALW 91.7 FM San Francisco Bay Area. First, at 10am PT, I’ll be guest hosting Your Call’s One Planet Series, where we’ll discuss ConocoPhillips’ massive oil and gas Willow Project in Alaska’s fragile western Arctic. Joining us will be Adam Federman, investigative reporter and a reporting fellow with Type Investigations, and the author of Fasting and Feasting: The Life of Visionary Food Writer Patience Gray.

Then in the second half of the program, we’ll cover the Biden administration’s recent $1.1 billion lifeline to California’s last nuclear power plant at Diablo Canyon. Sammy Roth, climate and energy reporter at the Los Angeles Times and writer of the weekly Boiling Point newsletter, will explain the situation.

Then on State of the Bay at 6pm PT, my co-host Grace Won will interview me over my recent trip to Egypt for the just-concluded UN climate conference. I’ll explain what happened at the conference and provide some analysis on what it means for the climate fight. Then later in the program you’ll hear Grace’s interview with former Fox News host Gretchen Carlson about her efforts to combat sexual harassment in the workplace.

Tune in at 91.7 FM in the San Francisco Bay Area or stream live at 10am PT for Your Call and then again at 6pm PT for State of the Bay. What comments or questions do you have for our guests? Call 866-798-TALK to join the conversation!

Election Eve Update, Zero-Emission Trucks & Type 1 Diabetes — State Of The Bay 6pm PT
THE FORD F-VISION. SOURCE: FORD TRUCKS

Tonight on State of the Bay, we’ll get election eve analysis from UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies (IGS) pollster Mark DiCamillo.

Plus we’ll explore California’s new proposed regulation to phase out fossil-fuel trucks, as well as the concerns that both environmental groups and trucking businesses have about it. Guests include:

  • Sam Wilson, Senior Vehicles Analyst, Union of Concerned Scientists
  • Daniel Sperling, California Air Resources Board member, director of the Institute of Transportation Studies at the University of California, Davis
  • Chris Shimoda, Senior Vice President of Governmental Affairs, CA Trucking Association

Finally, we discuss a new documentary on efforts to cure Type 1 Diabetes called The Human Trial with filmmakers Lisa Hepner and Guy Mossman.

What would you like to ask our guests? Post a comment here, tweet us @StateofBay, send an email to stateofthebay@kalw.org or leave a voicemail at (415) 580-0718‬.

Tune in tonight at 6pm PT on KALW 91.7 FM in the San Francisco Bay Area or stream live. You can also call 866-798-TALK with questions during the show.

Prop 30 & Adverse Childhood Experiences — State Of The Bay 6pm PT

On tonight’s State of the Bay, we discuss Proposition 30, which would tax the wealthy to fund wildfire mitigation and electric vehicles. Why are Governor Newsom and the teachers unions against it? How will you vote? Joining us is Sammy Roth, staff writer for the Los Angeles Times covering energy.

Then we’ll focus on Adverse Childhood Events (aka ACEs), which have been linked to poor mental and physical health as adults. How can we mitigate these negative effects? What are recent studies showing? What policies are in place to protect our children? Our guests include:

  • Dr. Dayna Long, pediatrician, researcher and director of Community Health and Engagement at UCSF
  • Dr. Nicole Bush, Associate Professor, Psychiatry UCSF Weill Institute for Neurosciences and clinical researcher

Finally, we’ll interview Maryam Qudus, also known as Spacemoth, as she discusses her debut album No Past No Future.

What would you like to ask our guests? Post a comment here, tweet us @StateofBay, send an email to stateofthebay@kalw.org or leave a voicemail at (415) 580-0718‬.

Tune in tonight at 6pm PT on KALW 91.7 FM in the San Francisco Bay Area or stream live. You can also call 866-798-TALK with questions during the show.

Decarbonizing Aviation — New CLEE report

A new CLEE report discusses policy solutions to reduce aviation emissions in California. Register for our webinar on this topic on Monday, November 7th, 9-10am PT.

What actions can California policy makers take to help decarbonize the aviation sector? UC Berkeley Law School’s Center for Law, Energy and the Environment (CLEE) is releasing a new report today, Clean Takeoff: Policy Solutions to Promote Sustainable Aviation in California, which offers recommendations for progress.

Airplane travel is responsible for more than 2 percent of global carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions, with non-CO₂ emissions raising the total climate impact further. While no existing zero-emission technologies can power all flights today, sustainable aviation fuel represents the most promising and immediate solution to reduce aviation emissions — and it will remain key to decarbonizing long-haul aviation, even in 2050.

In response, Governor Newsom called for a 20 percent clean fuels target for the aviation sector in July 2022, and the steps described in Clean Takeoff could help the state achieve those goals while maximizing air quality and economic co-benefits in communities near airports and production facilities. 

Based on input from a stakeholder convening of industry leaders, advocates, academics and other stakeholders, Clean Takeoff recommends that state leaders, including the governor, Air Resources Board and legislature, boost in-state sustainable aviation fuels by:

  • Developing a comprehensive long-term plan to decarbonize in-state aviation fuels by a firm deadline
  • Taxing or levying a carbon fee on conventional aviation fuel and using the proceeds to fund research and development, where consistent with federal law
  • Creating a standalone, mandatory low carbon fuel standard exclusively for aviation fuels, where consistent with federal law
  • Implementing permit-streamlining pathways for priority sustainable aviation fuels
  • Drafting a comprehensive sustainable aviation fuel feedstock sustainability framework
  • Facilitating offtake agreements, contracts-for-differences (where the government pays the fuel producer any difference between the market price and a contractual floor for a set period of time), low-interest loans, and commercial partnerships to boost sustainable aviation fuel supply and demand

In addition to boosting near-term sustainable aviation fuel, these actions can simultaneously support development of long-term solutions, such as electrification, hydrogen fuels, and improved airframe design, among others.

Ultimately, California is well positioned to advance these technologies and fuels, given its pioneering role developing programs that have boosted on-road zero-emission vehicles, as well as its position as a major economy with 12 international airports and numerous in-state flights.

To achieve this vision, state leaders will need to engage all stakeholders, including airlines, airports, affected communities, labor, and agricultural leaders, in order to boost a market for sustainable aviation that can scale globally.

To learn more, register for our free webinar on Monday, November 7, 9-10am PT, featuring:

  • Dan Adler, California Infrastructure and Economic Development Bank
  • Nikita Pavlenko, The International Council on Clean Transportation
  • Erin Cooke, San Francisco International Airport

Read Clean Takeoff: Policy Solutions to Promote Sustainable Aviation in California

This post was co-authored by Katie Segal.

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